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Well, we’ve made it through the first quarter of 2008. So far, I have kept to my plan to play 5€ in the ONCE lottery every Friday. Statistically, I would expect to lose that 5€ on 18 of the first 20 weeks. Since, as every card player knows, there are 13 weeks every quarter, at this point, I would have predicted that I would have lost all but maybe one or two weeks. Well, guess what’s happened?
As if there were a wily carnie controlling the results, I won (aka. didn’t lose) the first week, and have lost every single week since.
History So Far
| Date | Balance | Gambled | Won | Delta | Total Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2008 | 260 € | ||||
| Jan 4, 2008 | 260 € | 5 € | 5 € | 0 € | 0 € |
| Jan 11, 2008 | 255 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -5 € |
| Jan 18, 2008 | 250 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -10 € |
| Jan 25, 2008 | 245 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -15 € |
| Feb 1, 2008 | 240 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -20 € |
| Feb 8, 2008 | 235 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -25 € |
| Feb 15, 2008 | 230 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -30 € |
| Feb 22, 2008 | 225 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -35 € |
| Feb 29, 2008 | 220 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -40 € |
| Mar 7, 2008 | 215 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -45 € |
| Mar 14, 2008 | 210 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -50 € |
| Mar 21, 2008 | 205 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -55 € |
| Mar 28, 2008 | 200 € | 5 € | 0 € | -5 € | -60 € |
So there you have it. I’ve lost 60€ so far in this venture. At this rate, I’m looking at a total 240€ loss for the year. Note that I predicted “a likely loss of between 210 and 240 euros.”
Wish me luck in the second quarter!
