Lottery Year - First Quarter Results

Well, we've made it through the first quarter of 2008. So far, I have kept to my plan to play 5€ in the ONCE lottery every Friday. Statistically, I would expect to lose that 5€ on 18 of the first 20 weeks. Since, as every card player knows, there are 13 weeks every quarter, at this point, I would have predicted that I would have lost all but maybe one or two weeks. Well, guess what's happened? As if there were a wily carnie controlling the results, I won (aka. didn't lose) the first week, and have lost every single week since.

History So Far

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Date

Balance

Gambled

Won

Delta

Total Delta

Jan 1, 2008

260 €

Jan 4, 2008

260 €

5 €

5 €

0 €

0 €

Jan 11, 2008

255 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-5 €

Jan 18, 2008

250 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-10 €

Jan 25, 2008

245 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-15 €

Feb 1, 2008

240 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-20 €

Feb 8, 2008

235 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-25 €

Feb 15, 2008

230 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-30 €

Feb 22, 2008

225 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-35 €

Feb 29, 2008

220 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-40 €

Mar 7, 2008

215 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-45 €

Mar 14, 2008

210 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-50 €

Mar 21, 2008

205 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-55 €

Mar 28, 2008

200 €

5 €

0 €

-5 €

-60 €

So there you have it. I've lost 60€ so far in this venture. At this rate, I'm looking at a total 240€ loss for the year. Note that I predicted "a likely loss of between 210 and 240 euros."

Wish me luck in the second quarter!